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Wimbledon Betting: Are the Americans Any Good?

July 3rd, 2008

When Andy Roddick lost his second-round match at Wimbledon to Serbia’s Janko Tipsarevic, joining compatriot James Blake on the sidelines, it was America’s darkest day at SW19 since the tournament became an open event in 1968.

“We’ve been struggling for a long time, and it has just gotten worse,” New York-based tennis coach Gene Mayer told the Canadian Press. “We just are producing no players.”

Tell that to the women. The Williams sisters are on pace for yet another finals showdown; they’ve won six of the last eight championships between them. But it is true that American tennis has dried up otherwise. All the great players who came out of Florida’s training academies in the 1980s – including international stars like Monica Seles who became Americans – are part of tennis history now.

Getting the infrastructure back up and running will help. But this is really more about the rise of the rest of the world rather than the decline of the American empire.

Euro 2008 Updates

June 27th, 2008

We took the roundabout way to get here, but the top two favorites at Euro 2008 have survived all the way to the final. Germany was the 7-2 chalk at the start of the tournament, with Spain second at 4-1.

The roles will be reversed for Sunday’s championship. Germany had its hands full against Turkey in the semifinals, while Spain cruised past Russia in soggy conditions. It’s not the first sluggish performance by the German 11; as a result, they check in as +140 underdogs. Spain has played beautiful soccer for the most part and deserves its status as –180 faves.

There’s just one fly in the ointment for Spain. David Villa, still leading the Golden Boot race with his four goals, will miss the final after straining a muscle while taking a free kick against Russia. However, the Spaniards played brilliantly without Villa during Thursday’s semifinal, scoring all three of their goals during the second half. Achtung, baby.

Odds to Win the 2008 Sprint Cup Championship

June 20th, 2008

The 2008 NASCAR Sprint Cup is up for grabs. With 11 races left to go before the Chase, Kyle Busch holds a slim 32-point lead over Jeff Burton at the top of the driver standings. Yet Busch is the 3-1 Cup favorite on the NASCAR futures market. Burton is way back in the rear-view mirror at 14-1.

Busch leads all Cup drivers with four wins thus far; Burton has just one, at the Food City 500 in Bristol. However, NASCAR’s scoring system heavily downplays the importance of winning. Burton is in second place because he finished in the Top 20 in every single points race. Busch was dead last earlier this month at the Pocono 500.

Defending two-time champion Jimmie Johnson is 13-2 on the odds list. He’s 254 points behind Busch in fifth place, but the Chase format makes it almost irrelevant how far behind Johnson is – as long as he qualifies for the Chase.

Euro 2008: Who’s Hot, Who’s Not

June 13th, 2008

Euro 2008

The top teams at Euro 2008 are having nightmares. Italy was crushed 3-0 by the Netherlands, France was held to a goalless draw by Romania, and now Germany has lost 2-1 to Croatia.

Holland was the hottest property on the tournament futures market heading into Friday’s tilt with Les Bleus. But Croatia is closing fast with six points in two games, already enough to advance to the quarterfinals. That’s also enough to move the Croats to 8-1 to win the championship; Holland and Germany were tied at 5-1 at press time.

Portugal was upgraded from 9-2 to 4-1 following two impressive victories over Poland and the Czech Republic. The Portuguese have the consensus best player in the world in Cristiano Ronaldo, who scored the winning goal against the Czechs. But they remain the second favorites behind Spain, the new top chalk at 7-2. Spain is a mortal lock, as long as David Villa keeps scoring hat tricks.

Bet on Euro 2008!

2008 French Open Tennis Odds: Who Will Win?

June 6th, 2008

Betting on the women’s draw at the French Open used to be simple: Bet on Justine Henin. The sudden retirement of the world’s No. 1 women’s tennis player left the doors open for sweeping change at Roland Garros. Saturday’s final pits the new No. 1 Ana Ivanovic (as of Monday’s upcoming rankings) against Dinara Safina, the sister of former men’s No. 1 Marat Safin.

Ivanovic was even money at press time. She has the larger body of work, reaching the finals of last year’s French Open against Henin and doing the same at this year’s Australian Open, where she lost to Maria Sharapova – whom Ivanovic will overtake for the top spot in the WTA rankings on Monday. Safina is the No. 13 seed at Roland Garros and a 3-1 underdog on Saturday, but her one career victory in three tries against Ivanovic was on clay at the 2005 Berlin Open.

NBA Finals: Lakers Championship Odds

May 30th, 2008

Los Angeles Lakers logo

The 2007-08 Los Angeles Lakers are being touted as one of the best teams Kobe Bryant has every played on. That’s high praise, and that’s why the Lakers were 5-8 at press time to win the NBA championship.

Before the start of the Western Conference finals between Los Angeles and the San Antonio Spurs, Charles Barkley called the Lakers Kobe’s best-ever team. John Hollinger crunched the numbers for ESPN and came to much the same conclusion.

If the Lakers go on to win the title, it will be a moment of redemption for GM Mitch Kupchak. Fans weren’t pleased when Kupchak traded Shaquille O’Neal; the merits of that deal will be debated for some time, but there can be no doubt that the Pau Gasol trade has lifted the Lakers from very good to great. The question for handicappers is whether L.A. is great enough to win the title without home-court advantage.

The NBA Finals are finally here.

MLB Awards - Early Predictions

May 23rd, 2008

Cy Young Award

Annual awards are a fixture on the MLB futures market. Odds for the MVP and the Cy Young will be posted later on down the road, but it’s never too early to make an early prediction.

National League

MVP: Chipper Jones, Atlanta. Houston’s Lance Berkman is the most productive player in the majors at 44.7 VORP. But Jones (37.8 VORP) is hitting .410 and has a higher media profile.

Cy Young: Brandon Webb, Arizona. The collapse of the Padres makes it hard for Jake Peavy to collect enough wins, and now he’s on the DL with elbow problems. Webb is already 9-1 with the Snakes with a 2.69 ERA.

American League

MVP: Magglio Ordonez, Detroit. The three hottest hitters in the junior circuit are Josh Hamilton, Kevin Youkilis and Milton Bradley. Writers won’t vote for any of those three.

Cy Young: Daisuke Matsuzaka, Boston. Matsuzaka (8-0, 2.40 ERA) plays for the team with the best record in the majors at 30-19.

Online Sports Betting: NHL Playoffs Update

May 16th, 2008

If you’ve watched the NHL on television for at least a couple of years, you’re surely aware by now of this oft-repeated factoid: Only two teams have ever come back from an 0-3 deficit to win a best-of-seven series in the playoffs. The Dallas Stars and Philadelphia Flyers are trying to make it four.

Dallas got the breaks in Wednesday’s Game 4, holding off elimination with a 3-1 win as a +150 home dog. The next day, it was Philly’s turn to shine in a 4-2 victory that had the flavor of the Broad Street Bullies of the mid-70s. The Flyers collected 23 hits to Pittsburgh’s 18 and cashed in at +155.

The Red Wings will be gigantic favorites at home for Saturday’s Game 6. Top scorer Johan Franzen (12 goals in 11 games) remains out with a concussion, while in the Eastern final, the Flyers hope to have defensemen Kimmo Timonen and Braydon Coburn ready for their Game 6 on Sunday.

Stanley Cup Playoffs: Dallas Wins One

May 14th, 2008

With their backs against the wall, the Dallas Stars made a game out of it on Wednesday night at home and in doing so they finally won a game in their series against the Detroit Red Wings, scoring three goals to their one. It’s about time Mike Modano and Brenden Morrow showed up…

“It was a pretty intense, desperate game from everyone on our side,” said Dallas’ goaltender Marty Turco, who made 34 saves on the night. “We needed that to be successful. We’ll have to continue like that just to have a chance.”

In order to do that, however, they’ll have to pull one out of the hat in Detroit, where Turco hasn’t had the best of luck.

Currently, the Dallas Stars are 75/1 odds of winning the Stanley Cup; and the Detroit Red Wings are the 1/2 odds on favorites to win the Stanley Cup.

NHL Playoffs Betting - Conference Finals Predictions

May 6th, 2008

Over in the Western Conference you’ve got the Dallas Stars taking on the Detroit Red Wings; and over in the Eastern Conference it’s the Philadelphia Flyers and the Pittsburgh Penguins. We’re finally down to four teams.

The Detroit Red Wings have won 10 Stanley Cup titles in its history, more than any other American franchise, but nothing since 2002. The Dallas Stars, on the other hand, have won only one Stanley Cup and that was back in 1998-99.

For the time being, let’s forget the obvious skills advantage the Red Wings have over the Stars and instead focus on how these two teams have played together in the past. The Red Wings have won three of the four regular-season meetings they’ve had with Dallas. And the last time they played each other in the playoffs was back in the 1998 conference finals, when the Red Wings beat Dallas in six games en route to their second straight Stanley Cup crown. My prediction? Detroit in five.

Over in the East, the Pittsburgh Penguins and the Philadelphia Flyers will be battling a rivalry all of their own.

“It’s going to be a spirited series, no question about that,” Flyers coach John Stevens told reporters.

“If you want a rivalry, there’s one right there,” Penguins star center Sidney Crosby told the Pittsburgh-Post Gazette. “I’m sure everyone’s well aware of it. As players, we know that the playoffs are always intense, but it throws some spice into it when it’s Pittsburgh-Philadelphia.”

My prediction? The Red Wings in seven.

The Dallas Stars are listed at 3/1 odds to win the Stanley Cup; the Detroit Red Wings are at 3/2 odds to win; the Flyers are 11/2 odds to win the Cup; and the Penguins are the 2/1 odds to win the Stanley Cup.

You can bet on the Stanley Cup playoffs here.

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